MX23RW : Tuesday, March 28 06:28:54| >> :120:15533:15533:
Jan 14, 2023 at 1pm UK at Addis Ababa Stadium
Ethiopia
0 - 0
Mozambique
FT
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's African Nations Championship clash between Ethiopia and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Uganda
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Mozambique
Thursday, November 17 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Ethiopia 1-0 Mozambique

There is little to separate the teams heading into Saturday's clash, which could easily swing in either direction. That said, we are tipping Ethiopia to have enough about themselves to get the job done in what should be a tight affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
EthiopiaDrawMozambique
51.18% (-0.577 -0.58) 28.84% (-0.209 -0.21) 19.97% (0.782 0.78)
Both teams to score 36.72% (1.31 1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.54% (1.137 1.14)67.46% (-1.14 -1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.42% (0.751 0.75)85.57% (-0.755 -0.75)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (0.273 0.27)27.05% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58% (0.355 0.36)62.41% (-0.358 -0.36)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.34% (1.612 1.61)49.66% (-1.615 -1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.58% (1.102 1.1)84.42% (-1.105 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia 51.18%
    Mozambique 19.97%
    Draw 28.84%
EthiopiaDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 17.56% (-0.61 -0.61)
2-0 @ 11.48% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.161 0.16)
3-0 @ 5.01% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.096 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.23% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 51.18%
0-0 @ 13.43% (-0.57 -0.57)
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 2.81% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 28.84%
0-1 @ 9.4% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.3% (0.248 0.25)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 1% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.97%

How you voted: Ethiopia vs Mozambique

Ethiopia
84.2%
Draw
10.5%
Mozambique
5.3%
19
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
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3Manchester UnitedMan Utd2615564135650
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs28154952401249
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle261211339192047
6Liverpool26126847291842
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton25126746311542
8Brentford27101254334942
9Fulham27116103837139
10Chelsea2710892928138
11Aston Villa27115113539-438
12Crystal Palace2869132238-1627
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2876152241-1927
14Leeds UnitedLeeds2768133544-926
15Everton2868142240-1826
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2768132249-2726
17Leicester CityLeicester2774163847-925
18West Ham UnitedWest Ham2666142434-1024
19Bournemouth2766152554-2924
20Southampton2865172346-2323

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