More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Malawi
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Egypt vs. Malawi
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Guinea vs. Ethiopia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Malawi 1-0 Ethiopia
Malawi are unbeaten in six of their last eight home outings and will surely back themselves to get the job done against a team who have struggled away from home. We fancy the hosts to claim a narrow victory and begin their qualifying journey on a positive note. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 49.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malawi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Ethiopia |
49.06% ( -0.01) | 28.07% ( 0.01) | 22.88% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 41.45% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
