Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
54.66% ( -0.01) | 25.22% ( 0) | 20.12% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.44% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.83% ( -0.01) | 56.18% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.77% ( -0.01) | 77.23% ( 0.01) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.44% ( -0.01) | 20.56% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.92% ( -0.02) | 53.09% ( 0.02) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.21% ( 0) | 42.79% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.89% ( 0) | 79.12% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 13.91% 2-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 54.64% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.93% Total : 20.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 33 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 79 | 20 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 31 | 38 | 71 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 53 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 43 |
9 | Casa Pia | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 41 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 32 |
16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 23 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
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