Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rio Ave in this match.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Rio Ave |
34.49% ( 0.03) | 27.9% ( -0.01) | 37.62% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.04% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.08% ( 0.06) | 57.92% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.38% ( 0.05) | 78.63% ( -0.04) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.34% ( 0.05) | 31.67% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.92% ( 0.05) | 68.08% ( -0.05) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( 0.03) | 29.71% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.24% ( 0.03) | 65.76% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 69 | 17 | 52 | 74 |
2 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
3 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 41 |
8 | Vizela | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 39 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 37 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
> Full Version |