Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 2-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.