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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Birmingham City |
56.04% ( -0.62) | 23.38% ( 0.1) | 20.59% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 51.45% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.47% ( 0.24) | 48.54% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.34% ( 0.22) | 70.66% ( -0.22) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.86% ( -0.13) | 17.14% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.63% ( -0.24) | 47.37% ( 0.24) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.1% ( 0.69) | 37.91% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.32% ( 0.66) | 74.68% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 56.03% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.57% Total : 20.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70 | 28 | 42 | 82 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 82 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 80 | 49 | 31 | 81 |
4 | Southampton | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 73 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 66 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 61 |
7 | Hull City | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 58 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 57 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 56 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 54 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 53 |
12 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 48 |
13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 48 |
14 | Bristol City | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 46 |
16 | Millwall | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 43 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 42 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 41 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 41 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 61 | -31 | 38 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 77 | -47 | 20 |
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