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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Lincoln City
Morecambe
3 - 2
Lincoln
Stockton (50', 86'), Niasse (66')
Adams (35'), Crowley (45+1'), Stockton (68'), Austerfield (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sorensen (30'), Virtue (48')
Virtue (34'), Erhahon (74'), Poole (85')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Lincoln City

Given the magnitude of their recent victories, Morecambe will fancy their chances of a third successive victory. However, Lincoln are looking for a third away success of their own on away territory, leading us to predict a win for Kennedy's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawLincoln City
29.4% (0.0040000000000013 0) 25.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 45.13% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 53.8% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (0.015999999999998 0.02)49.75% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)71.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.012999999999991 0.01)31% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (0.014000000000003 0.01)67.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.02% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)55.34% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 29.4%
    Lincoln City 45.13%
    Draw 25.46%
MorecambeDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.68%
3-1 @ 2.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 29.4%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 9.15%
0-2 @ 7.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 45.13%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Lincoln

Morecambe
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Lincoln City
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7pm
Second Round
Lincoln
1-1
Morecambe
Lincoln win 4-3 on penalties
Hopper (53')
Stockton (67')
Love (55')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Lincoln
2-1
Morecambe
Walsh (17'), House (67')
Oakley-Boothe (83')
Weir (81')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 32
Lincoln
2-1
Morecambe
Whittaker (10'), Bramall (19')
Walsh (42'), Maguire (90+2')
Diagouraga (56')
Bedeau (90+2')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 10
Morecambe
2-0
Lincoln
Stockton (53'), Wootton (79')
McLaughlin (55')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
gameweek 34
Morecambe
0-2
Lincoln

Conlan (67')
Andrade (10', 57')
Bostwick (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
22Morecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

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