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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Freiburg |
51.37% ( -0.04) | 24.73% ( 0.02) | 23.9% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.54% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.46% ( -0.06) | 50.53% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.54% ( -0.05) | 72.45% ( 0.05) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.33% ( -0.04) | 19.66% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.35% ( -0.06) | 51.64% ( 0.06) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.15% ( -0.02) | 35.85% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.38% ( -0.02) | 72.62% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 51.37% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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