MX23RW : Monday, May 8 02:48:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium
Worthing
3 - 1
Hemel Hempstead
Dabre (29'), Pearce (33' pen.), Wills (42')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Grant (45+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Hemel Hempstead Town.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheshunt 0-2 Worthing
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.21% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawHemel Hempstead Town
56.79% (-0.414 -0.41) 21.01% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 22.21% (0.331 0.33)
Both teams to score 61.96% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)35.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.16% (0.023000000000003 0.02)57.85% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (-0.113 -0.11)12.54% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.41% (-0.236 -0.24)38.59% (0.238 0.24)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (0.297 0.3)29.15% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (0.361 0.36)65.09% (-0.357 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 56.79%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 22.21%
    Draw 21.01%
WorthingDrawHemel Hempstead Town
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.88% (-0.077000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.45% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 56.79%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.039 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.01%
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 22.21%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
gameweek 10
Hemel Hempstead
1-1
Worthing
Melvin-Lambert (28' pen.)
Pearce (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!