Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.