Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Arouca |
37.36% | 26.6% | 36.04% |
Both teams to score 52.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.26% | 52.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.63% | 74.37% |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.64% | 27.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.18% | 62.82% |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.87% | 28.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.19% | 63.81% |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.36% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 40 |
2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | SC FarenseFarense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Casa Pia | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 19 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
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