Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estádio Municipal
Arouca
1 - 0
Portimonense
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Portimonense
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
We said: Arouca 1-0 Portimonense
Arouca have endured a horrid campaign this season and find themselves just one point above the drop zone with three games to play. However, we are tipping them to grind out a slender victory against a floundering Portimonense side who are yet to taste victory on the road this year. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arouca in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Portimonense |
| 47.97% | 25.89% | 26.14% |
| Both teams to score 50.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
