Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Newport County.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Carlisle
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-1 Newport
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Newport County |
39.49% ( 0.01) | 28.62% ( -0) | 31.88% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.44% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
