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Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Brunton Park
Carlisle
1 - 2
Newport
Patrick (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Demetriou (15'), Azaz (65')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Newport County

The last two meetings between the sides have ended all square and with no team wanting to see their unbeaten run come to an end, we think Tuesday's contest may result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawNewport County
26.04%27.92%46.04%
Both teams to score 44.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.3%60.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.23%80.76%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.42%39.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.74%76.26%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6%26.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44%61.55%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 26.04%
    Newport County 46.04%
    Draw 27.9%
Carlisle UnitedDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 5.98%
2-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 1.85%
3-0 @ 1.39%
3-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 26.04%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 13.91%
0-2 @ 9.27%
1-2 @ 8.59%
0-3 @ 4.11%
1-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.37%
1-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 46.04%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Newport

Carlisle United
53.6%
Draw
21.4%
Newport County
25.0%
28
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Newport
2-2
Carlisle
Telford (27', 30')
Haynes (48')
Upson (66'), Haynes (85')
Riley (1'), Clough (67' pen.)
McDonald (14'), Mellish (22')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Carlisle
3-2
Newport
Alessandra (15' pen.), Mellish (68', 81')
McDonald (48')
Devitt (84'), Sheehan (90+2')
Labadie (22')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-0
Newport
Patrick (5'), Kayode (33' pen.)
Hayden (45'), Anderton (57')

Gorman (32')
Inniss (44')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
FT
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30-31
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6pm
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Bills
9.30pm
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@
Vikings
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient26176336132357
2Stevenage25157336181852
3Northampton TownNorthampton26137640281246
4Carlisle UnitedCarlisle25119539251442
5Salford City25125834241041
6Swindon TownSwindon2611873325841
7Bradford CityBradford2511773125640
8BarrowBarrow26124103230240
9Mansfield TownMansfield2611693635139
10Stockport CountyStockport24114935231237
11Walsall2410773022837
12Doncaster RoversDoncaster25114103035-537
13AFC Wimbledon269982928136
14Sutton UnitedSutton27106112735-836
15Tranmere RoversTranmere269892823535
16Grimsby Town2486102632-630
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe247982028-830
18Newport CountyNewport2668122430-626
19Colchester UnitedColchester2675142633-726
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2566133240-824
21Crawley TownCrawley2457122639-1322
22Rochdale2655162239-1720
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2547142447-2319
24Gillingham243813928-1917

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