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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
36% | 24.27% | 39.74% |
Both teams to score 60.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.72% | 42.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.32% | 64.68% |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.74% | 23.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.81% | 57.19% |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.63% | 21.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.66% | 54.34% |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.16% 1-0 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.21% Total : 36% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-1 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.65% Total : 39.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25 |
2 | BarrowBarrow | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Stevenage | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 19 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
6 | Salford City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 15 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 14 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 14 |
13 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
15 | Walsall | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
16 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
17 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
22 | Gillingham | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 6 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
24 | Rochdale | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 2 |
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