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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Newport County |
44.07% | 26.94% | 28.99% |
Both teams to score 49.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.22% | 55.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.09% | 76.91% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.85% | 25.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.13% | 59.86% |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.54% | 34.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.83% | 71.17% |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 11.96% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.22% Total : 28.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 39 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 80 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 40 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 70 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 69 |
4 | Stevenage | 39 | 19 | 12 | 8 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 69 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 67 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 65 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 |
8 | Salford City | 40 | 18 | 9 | 13 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 63 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 58 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 57 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 51 |
13 | Walsall | 40 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 50 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 50 |
15 | Grimsby Town | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 48 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 48 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 47 |
18 | AFC Wimbledon | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 47 |
19 | Gillingham | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 47 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 40 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 39 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 40 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 38 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 40 | 8 | 14 | 18 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 38 |
24 | Rochdale | 40 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 32 |
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