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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.1%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Northampton Town |
46.74% | 29.51% | 23.75% |
Both teams to score 38.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.21% | 66.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.88% | 85.12% |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.04% | 28.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.15% | 64.85% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.76% | 45.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.88% | 81.12% |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 16.23% 2-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 7.98% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.39% Total : 46.73% | 0-0 @ 13.1% 1-1 @ 12.87% 2-2 @ 3.17% Other @ 0.37% Total : 29.5% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.69% Total : 23.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 39 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 80 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 40 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 70 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 69 |
4 | Stevenage | 39 | 19 | 12 | 8 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 69 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 67 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 65 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 64 |
8 | Salford City | 40 | 18 | 9 | 13 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 63 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 58 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 57 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 51 |
13 | Walsall | 40 | 11 | 17 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 50 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 50 |
15 | Grimsby Town | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 48 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 48 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 47 |
18 | AFC Wimbledon | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 47 |
19 | Gillingham | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 47 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 40 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 39 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 40 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 38 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 40 | 8 | 14 | 18 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 38 |
24 | Rochdale | 40 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 32 |
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