Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 35.72%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
