Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
