Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Sevilla |
34.3% ( -0.04) | 26.66% ( 0.06) | 39.04% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.84% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.88% ( -0.25) | 53.12% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.3% ( -0.21) | 74.69% ( 0.21) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% ( -0.15) | 29.39% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.62% ( -0.18) | 65.37% ( 0.18) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.41% ( -0.13) | 26.58% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.2% ( -0.17) | 61.8% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.3% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |