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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Sevilla logo
Real Madrid
3 - 1
Sevilla
Modric (5'), Vazquez (79'), Valverde (81')
Tchouameni (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lamela (54')
Jordan (28'), Montiel (32'), Gudelj (66'), Papu (90+5')
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga contest with Sevilla.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Sevilla.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in La Liga

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Valencia
Tuesday, October 18 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Sevilla

 Sevilla have shown a lot of improvement under Sampaoli, but it is really difficult to back against Real Madrid at the moment, especially at Bernabeu. Los Blancos might have to be patient on Saturday, but we are expecting the champions to put another three points on the board in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 11.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawSevilla
69.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 18.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.54% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.59% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)45.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (0.007000000000005 0.01)11.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.03% (0.016999999999996 0.02)36.98% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.62% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)48.38% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)83.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 69.98%
    Sevilla 11.38%
    Draw 18.64%
Real MadridDrawSevilla
2-0 @ 13.03%
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 9.29% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.97% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-1 @ 3.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.45%
5-0 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 69.98%
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 18.64%
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 11.38%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Real Madrid
90.0%
Draw
4.8%
Sevilla
5.2%
231
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 8pm
Sevilla
2-3
Real Madrid
Rakitic (21'), Lamela (25')
Martial (39'), Carlos (80'), Torres (83')
Rodrygo (50'), Nacho (82'), Benzema (90+2')
Camavinga (31'), Nacho (78'), Kroos (90+6'), Mariano (90+9')
Nov 28, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-1
Sevilla
Benzema (32'), Junior (87')
Kroos (61'), Carvajal (69'), Casemiro (90+1')
Mir (12')
Acuna (34'), Montiel (55'), Ocampos (84')
May 9, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-2
Sevilla
Asensio (67'), Hazard (90+4')
Casemiro (21')
Fernando (22'), Rakitic (78' pen.)
Suso (56'), Gudelj (85')
> Preview
Dec 5, 2020 3.15pm
Sevilla
0-1
Real Madrid

Gudelj (76')
Bono (55' og.)
Kroos (44'), Modric (60'), Junior (89')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Real Madrid
2-1
Sevilla
> Match Report
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona37284569185188
2Real Madrid37245874353977
3Atletico MadridAtletico37237768313776
4Real Sociedad37208949341568
5Villarreal371961257381963
6Real BetisBetis37178124540559
7Osasuna37148153541-650
8Athletic Bilbao37148154642450
9GironaGirona371310145753449
10Rayo Vallecano371310144550-549
11Sevilla371310144652-649
12Mallorca37138163443-947
13Valencia37118184144-341
14CadizCadiz371011162952-2341
15Getafe371011163445-1141
16Almeria37117194662-1640
17Celta Vigo371010174152-1140
18Real ValladolidValladolid37116203363-3039
REspanyol37812174966-1736
RElcheElche3759232966-3724
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