Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Real Madrid |
36.34% | 25.97% | 37.7% |
Both teams to score 54.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.97% | 50.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.99% | 72.01% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.33% | 26.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.08% | 61.91% |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.1% | 25.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.12% | 60.88% |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.17% Total : 36.34% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 2.84% 2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 36 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 85 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 73 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 36 | 20 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 56 |
7 | Osasuna | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 49 |
10 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
11 | Mallorca | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 47 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Valencia | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 40 |
15 | Almeria | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 39 |
16 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 38 |
17 | Getafe | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 38 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 38 |
19 | Espanyol | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 35 |
R | ElcheElche | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 66 | -38 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |