Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.