Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
28.97% | 24.82% | 46.21% |
Both teams to score 55.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.77% | 47.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.54% | 69.46% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.98% | 30.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.86% | 66.14% |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.5% | 20.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.01% | 52.99% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.41% 2-1 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 4.46% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.19% Total : 28.97% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-2 @ 7.73% 1-3 @ 4.91% 0-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.62% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 6 | 29 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 35 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Villarreal | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 28 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
7 | Osasuna | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 27 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 26 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
10 | Mallorca | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 22 |
11 | GironaGirona | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 21 |
12 | Valencia | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
13 | Almeria | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
14 | Espanyol | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 17 |
15 | Getafe | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 17 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 16 |
19 | Sevilla | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
20 | ElcheElche | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 5 |
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