Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar are more than capable of picking up a result on Wednesday, and we are expecting this to be an uncomfortable match for Real Madrid. The reigning champions have been so strong at the start of this season, though, and we are backing them to put another three points on the board. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 10.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.42%) and 3-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.69%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
67.41% ( -0) | 21.79% ( 0.01) | 10.8% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 35.2% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
