Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
46.16% ( 0.01) | 23.81% | 30.03% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 59.79% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.94% ( 0) | 42.06% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.53% | 64.47% ( 0) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.56% ( 0) | 18.44% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.38% ( 0) | 49.62% ( 0) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% ( -0) | 26.69% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.06% ( -0) | 61.94% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.52% Total : 46.16% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-1 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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