Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.