Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Newcastle United |
49.78% | 27.04% | 23.18% |
Both teams to score 44.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.35% | 59.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.03% | 79.97% |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% | 24.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.57% | 58.43% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.37% | 41.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.89% | 78.11% |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 14.27% 2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.36% Total : 49.77% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 5.48% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.14% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.17% Total : 23.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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