Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Valencia |
46.18% ( -0.16) | 26.69% ( -0.03) | 27.13% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 48.6% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.21% ( 0.2) | 55.8% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.08% ( 0.16) | 76.92% ( -0.16) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( 0.01) | 24.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.57% ( 0.01) | 58.43% ( -0.01) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.06% ( 0.27) | 35.94% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.28% ( 0.27) | 72.72% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.17% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 27.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |