Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Famalicao |
32.09% ( 0.45) | 28.92% ( 0.14) | 38.99% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 44.69% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.14% ( -0.38) | 61.87% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.36% ( -0.28) | 81.64% ( 0.28) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% ( 0.13) | 35.39% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.85% ( 0.13) | 72.15% ( -0.13) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.16% ( -0.54) | 30.84% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.88% ( -0.64) | 67.12% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.91% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 31 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 72 | 17 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 67 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 13 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40 |
11 | Vizela | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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