Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
