Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
