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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
46.84% | 25.95% | 27.21% |
Both teams to score 50.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.06% | 52.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.46% | 74.54% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.41% | 22.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.81% | 56.19% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.65% | 34.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.95% | 71.05% |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 11.54% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.29% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.43% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56 | 34 | 22 | 61 |
3 | Stevenage | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 60 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 59 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 57 |
6 | Salford City | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 56 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 51 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 51 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 49 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 48 |
13 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 47 |
14 | Walsall | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 43 |
15 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 39 |
17 | Grimsby Town | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 38 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 37 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 35 |
20 | Gillingham | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 34 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 32 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 29 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
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