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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Northampton Town |
48.34% | 26.76% | 24.9% |
Both teams to score 46.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.56% | 57.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.75% | 78.25% |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.17% | 23.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42% | 58% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.24% | 38.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.5% | 75.5% |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 13.24% 2-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.53% Total : 48.33% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.51% Total : 24.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
2 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 18 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
7 | Wrexham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 15 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
10 | MK Dons | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 |
12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
14 | Morecambe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
16 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
17 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
19 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 |
21 | Salford City | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
22 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
23 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 6 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 4 |
> League Two Full Table |