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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
29.52% | 27.5% | 42.97% |
Both teams to score 47.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.34% | 57.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.58% | 78.41% |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.95% | 35.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.21% | 71.79% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.43% | 26.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.21% | 61.78% |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 6.78% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.12% Total : 29.52% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.31% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 12.34% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Notts County | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 30 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Morecambe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
7 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Gillingham | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 25 |
9 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 22 |
12 | MK Dons | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Salford City | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 21 |
14 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Walsall | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 20 |
16 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
17 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 19 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 18 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 14 |
22 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
23 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |