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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
34.28% | 26.55% | 39.17% |
Both teams to score 52.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.3% | 52.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.66% | 74.34% |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% | 29.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.86% | 65.14% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.68% | 26.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.55% | 61.45% |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 28 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
6 | Stevenage | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
7 | Blackpool | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 23 |
8 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 22 |
9 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
11 | Burton Albion | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 20 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
16 | Port Vale | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 18 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 14 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
21 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
22 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
23 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 8 |
24 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 6 |
> League One Full Table |