Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Exeter City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Harrogate Town | 46 | -11 | 53 |
| 20 | Carlisle United | 46 | -23 | 53 |
| 21 | Stevenage | 46 | -23 | 47 |
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Forest Green Rovers | 46 | 31 | 84 |
| 2 | Exeter City | 46 | 24 | 84 |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 22 | 80 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Exeter City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Exeter City |
| 25.55% | 27.16% | 47.29% |
| Both teams to score 46.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
