Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Arsenal | 1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Bournemouth | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Fulham | 1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Leicester City | 1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Leicester City win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result | ||
Arsenal | Draw | Leicester City |
56.97% ( -0.19) | 22.4% ( 0.08) | 20.63% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.68% ( -0.23) | 44.32% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.31% ( -0.22) | 66.69% ( 0.22) |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.67% ( -0.14) | 15.33% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.92% ( -0.26) | 44.08% ( 0.26) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.54% ( -0.02) | 35.46% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.78% ( -0.02) | 72.22% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Arsenal | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.56% 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.97% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 20.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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