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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Carlisle United |
33.43% | 28.05% | 38.52% |
Both teams to score 47.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.38% | 58.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.83% | 79.17% |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.27% | 32.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% | 69.29% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.49% | 29.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.47% | 65.52% |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.42% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 11.78% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.48% Total : 38.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 70 |
2 | Stevenage | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 57 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 52 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 52 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 51 |
7 | Salford City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 49 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 47 |
10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 46 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 45 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 44 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 42 |
14 | Walsall | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 41 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 36 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
20 | Gillingham | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 30 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 29 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 27 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 21 |
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