Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
