Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.