Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Everton had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
37.41% | 28.09% | 34.5% |
Both teams to score 47.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.37% | 58.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.82% | 79.18% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.82% | 30.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.67% | 66.33% |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.98% | 32.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.51% | 68.49% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
1-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 7.9% 2-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.4% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 6.27% 1-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 75 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 31 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 82 | 29 | 53 | 73 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 59 |
4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 59 |
5 | Aston Villa | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 54 |
6 | Liverpool | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 53 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 49 |
9 | Brentford | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 47 |
10 | Fulham | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 45 |
11 | Chelsea | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 37 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Bournemouth | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 33 |
16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 30 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 30 |
18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 29 |
19 | Everton | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 28 |
20 | Southampton | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 24 |
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