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Accrington Stanley
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Bristol Rovers
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Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
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Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Forest Green Rovers
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Lincoln City
MK Dons
Morecambe
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
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Shrewsbury Town
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Dec 10, 2022 at 2pm UK at The New Lawn
League One | Gameweek 21
Forest Green
1 - 0
Cheltenham
FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (16'), Sercombe (45+1'), Freestone (54')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Cheltenham Town

In a match with permutations in the lower half of the table, we expect both sides to compete vigorously to gain another three points in League One. Nevertheless, there will be no separating the sides on the day, culminating in a point apiece for both Forest Green and Cheltenham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCheltenham Town
51.39% (0.012 0.01) 24.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.99% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.95% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)50.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.02% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)35.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)72.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 51.38%
    Cheltenham Town 23.99%
    Draw 24.62%
Forest Green RoversDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.38%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.62%
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.99%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Cheltenham

Forest Green Rovers
45.5%
Draw
45.5%
Cheltenham Town
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7pm
Second Round
Forest Green
1-1
Cheltenham
Cheltenham win 4-3 on penalties
March (24')
Peart-Harris (17')
Broom (69')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Cheltenham
2-1
Forest Green
Boyle (11'), Williams (57')
Boyle (14'), May (26'), Sercombe (59'), Clements (73')
Collins (74' pen.)
Adams (77')
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Forest Green
Varney (67')
Raglan (24'), Clements (86'), Ince (90'), Tozer (93')
Aitchison (15'), Frear (40')
Collins (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth43288776463092
2Ipswich TownIpswich432613490335791
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds442612677374090
4Barnsley432671076383885
5Bolton WanderersBolton4321121057332475
6Derby CountyDerby4421121166442275
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough442341773541973
8Portsmouth4417171058471168
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe442081657461168
10Lincoln CityLincoln431320104443159
11Charlton AthleticCharlton441513166562358
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155147457
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury43168195056-656
14Exeter CityExeter441411196160153
15Bristol Rovers421410185566-1152
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431311194055-1550
17Port Vale441310214565-2049
18Burton Albion421310195578-2349
19MK Dons441110234062-2243
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd43914204154-1341
21Morecambe44914214273-3141
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43117253766-2940
23Accrington StanleyAccrington43911233674-3838
RForest Green RoversForest Green4469293184-5327

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