MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 20:08:24| >> :600:204358:204358:
Cheltenham Town
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Cheltenham
1 - 2
Alvechurch
Jackson (54')
Sercombe (62'), Long (75'), N'Lundulu (82'), May (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Waldron (19'), Concannon (50')
Waldron (21'), Willets (69'), Sephton (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Cheltenham Town and Alvechurch, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 4-0 Alvechurch

On a rare appearance at this stage of the competition, Alvechurch will want to enjoy the day as well as attempting to cause a monumental upset. However, we can only predict a one-sided game with the home side running out comfortable victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Alvechurch had a probability of 20.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Alvechurch win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawAlvechurch
58.18% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05) 21.13% (0.012 0.01) 20.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 59.16% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.4% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.31% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)60.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.01% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)12.99% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.5% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)39.5% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Alvechurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.043000000000006 0.04)32.01% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (0.047999999999998 0.05)68.47% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 58.18%
    Alvechurch 20.69%
    Draw 21.13%
Cheltenham TownDrawAlvechurch
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 58.18%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 20.69%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Alvechurch

Cheltenham Town
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Alvechurch
8.3%
12
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Cheltenham Town
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
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5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
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19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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