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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Exeter City
Portsmouth
2 - 0
Exeter
Pack (57'), Morrell (74')
Thompson (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hartridge (70'), White (85')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Exeter City

Although Portsmouth will be looking to end their 10-game winless run, we think that they will have to settle for a point against an Exeter side who are unbeaten in four matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawExeter City
52.01% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 23.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 55.23% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13% (0.016999999999996 0.02)45.87% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)68.18% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)17.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.016999999999996 0.02)48.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)32.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)69.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 52%
    Exeter City 24.29%
    Draw 23.7%
PortsmouthDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 52%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.29%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Exeter

Portsmouth
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Exeter City
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Exeter
2-3
Portsmouth
Jay (6'), Collins (76')
Hirst (5'), Curtis (89', 90+3')
Morrell (35'), Raggett (64'), Curtis (90+4')
Feb 18, 2020 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Portsmouth
3-2
Exeter
Harness (86'), McGeehan (90'), Marquis (90')
Taylor (79'), Burgess (89' og.)
Fisher (50'), Warren (59')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Portsmouth

Harley (25'), Sweeney (85'), Riley-Lowe (90')
Roberts (85' pen.)
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