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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result |
Portsmouth | Draw | Exeter City |
52.01% ( 0.01) | 23.7% ( -0) | 24.29% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 55.23% ( 0.01) |