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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | MK Dons |
59.67% ( -0.38) | 22.83% ( 0.22) | 17.5% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 47.91% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% ( -0.61) | 50.58% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.5% ( -0.54) | 72.5% ( 0.54) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% ( -0.34) | 16.59% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.6% ( -0.62) | 46.39% ( 0.62) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.44% ( -0.16) | 42.56% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.08% ( -0.14) | 78.92% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 59.66% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.83% | 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 39 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 83 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 81 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 40 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 81 |
4 | Barnsley | 39 | 23 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 75 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 39 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 67 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 40 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 67 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 67 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 62 |
9 | Portsmouth | 40 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 62 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 39 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 55 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 53 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 52 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 50 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 39 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 49 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 48 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 45 |
17 | Port Vale | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 45 |
18 | Burton Albion | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49 | 71 | -22 | 45 |
19 | MK Dons | 40 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 41 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 39 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 38 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 39 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 36 |
23 | Morecambe | 41 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 38 | 71 | -33 | 34 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 40 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 29 | 74 | -45 | 26 |
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