Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
