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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Cambuur
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
NEC
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Groningen
AZ
1 - 0
Groningen
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-2 AZ
Tuesday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Groningen
Saturday, March 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Groningen

Buoyed by their European triumph in midweek, AZ will head into this weekend's contest with a spring in their step. We fancy the home side to stroll to a routine victory here, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 82.41%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 6.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 3-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.2%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawGroningen
82.41% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 11.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 6.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.59% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.42% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)47.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.17% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)4.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.54% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)19.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02)46.84% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.63% (0.012 0.01)82.37% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 82.4%
    Groningen 6.26%
    Draw 11.33%
AZ AlkmaarDrawGroningen
3-0 @ 10.49%
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 6.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.39%
7-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 82.4%
1-1 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.99% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 11.33%
1-2 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
0-1 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 6.26%

How you voted: AZ vs Groningen

AZ Alkmaar
87.0%
Draw
6.5%
Groningen
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 5.45pm
Groningen
1-4
AZ
Pepi (42')
Pelupessy (80')
De Wit (3'), Karlsson (19'), Milos (62'), Lahdo (85')
Dec 21, 2021 8pm
AZ
1-0
Groningen
Karlsson (68')

Buijs (12'), de Leeuw (28'), Duarte (78'), Dammers (87')
Kasanwirjo (4')
Oct 24, 2021 7pm
May 13, 2021 1.30pm
Dec 6, 2020 1.30pm
AZ
1-2
Groningen
Koopmeiners (21')
Midtsjo (8'), Martins Indi (78'), Stengs (90+2'), Koopmeiners (90+3'), Wijndal (90+3')
Midtsjo (57'), Martins Indi (85')
El Messaoudi (69', 74')
Joosten (79')
El Hankouri (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Feyenoord31237175284776
2PSV EindhovenPSV31215582354768
3Ajax31189479324763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31187659322761
5FC Twente311510654262855
6Sparta RotterdamSparta31158850341653
7FC UtrechtUtrecht3113994945448
8RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk31118125053-341
9Heerenveen31118123947-841
10NECNijmegen3181494137438
11Go Ahead Eagles31910124351-837
12Fortuna SittardSittard31105163756-1935
13Vitesse31710143650-1431
14FC VolendamVolendam3186173765-2830
15EmmenEmmen31610152954-2528
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior3184192768-4128
RGroningen3146212961-3218
RCambuur3144232163-4216

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