Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.