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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora
Pereira (12')
Pereira (45+4'), Marlon (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
N'do (88')
Mendes (6'), Pereira Martins (56'), N'do (76'), Kikas (86')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-1 Amarante
Wednesday, January 10 at 7.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 1-1 Estrela Amadora

The priority for both of these teams this will season will be avoiding relegation, and we could see a cagey encounter play out as a result of that. In truth, there is little to split them in terms of individual quality. Gil Vicente have collected all of their points on their home patch this season, meaning that we do not envisage them being beaten on Sunday. But Estrela have travelled well and are more than capable of avoiding defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawEstrela Amadora
55.49% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.43%22.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 56.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)42.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.77% (0.00099999999999056 0)15.23% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.1%43.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)33.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 55.49%
    Estrela Amadora 22.08%
    Draw 22.43%
Gil VicenteDrawEstrela Amadora
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.19%
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.91%
4-0 @ 2.63%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 55.49%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.46%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 22.08%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17141240172343
2Benfica17133135112442
3Porto17122325121338
4Braga17103440251533
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes1710342819933
6MoreirenseMoreirense178542418629
7FamalicaoFamalicao175751720-322
8SC FarenseFarense176382323021
9BoavistaBoavista175572631-520
10Casa Pia175481823-519
11Estrela Amadora174671824-618
12PortimonensePortimonense175391836-1818
13Estoril PraiaEstoril1752103132-117
14AroucaArouca174492325-216
15Gil Vicente174492731-416
16Rio AveRio Ave173681928-915
17Vizela172781627-1113
18ChavesChaves1732121844-2611

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